谁能帮我编一题英语选择题?要稍微有点难度的

题目

谁能帮我编一题英语选择题?要稍微有点难度的
答案是在guess; conjecture; surmise; reckon 四个中选的,并且最终选CONJECTURE的,并希望把不选其他三个答案的理由阐释清楚,

答案

Her __________ that the election would be a landslide proved to be true.
A. guess B. conjecture C. surmise D. reckon
答案 B conjecture 预测,预测结果；guess: A guess is an attempt to give the right answer when you are not certain if you are correct. 更偏向于主观意识上的猜想;
conjecture :a guess or judgment, based on the apprearance of a situation rather than on proof. 更偏向于根据事实推测判断；
surmise:To guess(something),without having much or any proof. 更偏向于没有根据的臆测；
reckon: To calculate (an amount) based on facts or on your expectations. 更偏向于估算,估计.